As hybrid cars gobble rare metals, shortage looms

September 1st, 2009

LOS ANGELES (Reuters Mon Aug 31, 2009) - The Prius hybrid automobile is popular for its fuel efficiency, but its electric motor and battery guzzle rare earth metals, a little-known class of elements found in a wide range of gadgets and consumer goods.

That makes Toyota’s market-leading gasoline-electric hybrid car and other similar vehicles vulnerable to a supply crunch predicted by experts as China, the world’s dominant rare earths producer, limits exports while global demand swells.

Worldwide demand for rare earths, covering 15 entries on the periodic table of elements, is expected to exceed supply by some 40,000 tonnes annually in several years unless major new production sources are developed. One promising U.S. source is a rare earths mine slated to reopen in California by 2012.

Among the rare earths that would be most affected in a shortage is neodymium, the key component of an alloy used to make the high-power, lightweight magnets for electric motors of hybrid cars, such as the Prius, Honda Insight and Ford Focus, as well as in generators for wind turbines.

Jack Lifton, an independent commodities consultant and strategic metals expert, calls the Prius “the biggest user of rare earths of any object in the world.”

Each electric Prius motor requires 1 kilogram (2.2 lb) of neodymium, and each battery uses 10 to 15 kg (22-33 lb) of lanthanum. That number will nearly double under Toyota’s plans to boost the car’s fuel economy, he said.

ZED COMMENT: Is this the death knoll of the electric car? First, Mitsubishi announces that there will be a lithium shortage by 2015, and now there is a known pending shortage of rare earth material.  The electric car cannot operate without either, and there are no known new sources. ZED engines however, are powered by hydrogen, infinitely available as the most abundant element in the universe. ZED engines are also made of 100% recyclable, common metals.  With no limitations on fuel, and no limitations on materials, the ZED engine is a “perfect” solution to power transportation with zero emissions.

Global Hydrogen vehicles, research and development

August 17th, 2009

World interest continues to build in hydrogen fueled vehicles as the ONLY way to change the transportation paradigm. For a global view on Google, visit the following link.

http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF&msa=0&msid=110024804489189719094.00046f1edce5dbd179af9

93 per cent efficient solar hydrogen Production

August 17th, 2009

93 per cent efficient solar hydrogen Production, Aug  15  2009 (The Hydrogen Journal)

Researchers at Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics (China) are developing a new catalyst which can use sunlight to separate hydrogen from water, in a similar way to photosynthesis, according to an article published by the American Chemical Society.

The researchers have developed a semiconductor based catalyst which can use up to 93 per cent of solar energy in the visible wavelength to make hydrogen.

The catalyst is made from cadmium sulphide doped with low concentrations of palladium sulphide and platinum. The doping boosts the effectiveness of cadmium sulphide by about 380 times.

Until now photocatalysts have been developed which can only access ultraviolet light, which is just a few percent of total solar energy; other photocatalysts can only use 60 per cent of solar energy.

The water needs to contain a reagent which consumes the oxygen produced.

ZED COMMENT: As the only energy carrier which exceeds the power of gasoline and diesel, global research continues to advance with breakthroughs in the production and storage of hydrogen as a fuel. Equipped with the Berk-cycle heat scavenging system, a ZED engine typically produces over double the power of gasoline in the same size engine. Hydrogen made from water, returns to being water when combusted, in effect the only infinite source of zero-carbon fuel. For more information contact: corpcomm@zedpower.com

Electric Car Hype vs. Reality

August 5th, 2009

BBC World News (October 8, 2008) For the car industry as a whole …….  electric cars offer no silver bullet, according to Bentley’s chief executive Franz-Joseph Paefgen.

But …………. batteries must be 500% better than they were during the 1990s - the last time electric sockets featured seriously in the electric automotive debate.

Instead, in spite of a string of advances, they still have not exceeded a delivery far beyond 50% more than they did a decade ago and as such are not really viable, he insists.

We have this hype again,” Dr Paefgen cries.

It is not very likely that you will see any electric car with a range of more than 50 miles in the next five years.

“It is a dream for the happy few,” he adds, insisting that much of the current electric wave is driven by marketing people cynically building corporate images on false premises.

ZED COMMENT: Until electric can match the performance of ZED, which is to replace any gasoline or diesel engine in any application from car to heavy truck, train locomotive to lawn mower, electric will remain little more than a niche application. Similarly, where some electric vehicle manufacturers claim “up to” 200 miles range, the reality in real world conditions is less than 50 miles, followed by an 8 hour re-charge which falls far short of replacing the gasoline engine.

Europe’s CO2 war has room…………

July 27th, 2009

Reuters Mon Jul 27, 2009. Quote: Colin Dodge, Executive Vice President, and chairman of the (\Nissan) management committee for Africa, Middle East, India and Europe said earlier this month…. “Even though we’ve got hybrid technology, we still believe the vast majority of the segment of the future is best served with the ultimate solution on CO2 — zero emissions,” he said.

Credit Suisse analysts said that while technology developments for conventional internal combustion engines could cut CO2 emissions by up to 30 percent, and hybrid technology could make for a further reduction of 50 percent, “further improvement from here will likely require more radical powertrain alternatives.”

ZED Comment: The ultimate solution in zero emissions is the ZED (Zero Emissions Design) engine, a completely different, radical powertrain alternative which can be built for the same cost as a gasoline engine, yet deliver zero emissions and better performance. For more information contact: corpcomm@zedpower.com

World dependent on fossil fuels for a century

July 15th, 2009

LONDON (Reuters Wed Jul 15, 2009) - The world will remain heavily dependent on fossil fuels such as oil, gas and coal for the rest of this century, despite the best efforts of governments to move toward renewable energy, an energy economist said on Wednesday. Peter Odell, professor of international energy studies at Erasmus University, Rotterdam, and author of the bestselling World and Oil Power, said the drive to limit greenhouse gases was likely to be held back by both technology and economics.

“Coal, oil and gas will continue to dominate the energy market throughout the 21st century,” he said.

ZED COMMENT - Professor Dell has come to a logical conclusion given the lack of an engine to date, which can power our global economy with the performance of gasoline. Without the technology, such as ZED, which can broadly replace ANY engine in ANY application, niche use of electric, hybrid and other technologies will not broadly limit the drive to decrease greenhouse gases. Following a global search by NERAC,  ZED is the only engine technology which has zero emissions, as well as the gasoline-like performance needed to broadly change the transportation paradigm.

Europe car scrapping seen failing green test

June 9th, 2009

OSLO (Reuters June 9, 2009) - European car scrapping schemes are aiding a shift to small, less polluting cars but environmental campaigners say they fall short of pledges to create a greener economy during the recession.

“It’s definitely a missed opportunity. This is just doling out cash to the car industry,” said Jos Dings, director of the European Federation for Transport and Environment, which campaigns for greener transport.

“The first goal is to help the economy,” German Environment Minister Sigmar Gabriel said of a “cash for clunkers” subsidy that helped boost German car sales by 40 percent in May from the same 2008 month.

“The indirect effect is that you help the climate” by replacing old cars with cleaner vehicles, the minister told Reuters of the scheme that pays motorists 2,500 euros ($3,468) to scrap a car at least nine years old and buy a new vehicle.

Countries setting no demands for low carbon vehicles “have the approach that new cars are better than old ones,” European Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas told Reuters.

But he said he felt it would be “even better” for governments to spell out tough carbon standards.

“Small cars are benefiting most,” said Sigrid de Vries, spokeswoman of ACEA. “It’s simply not right to say that there is no environmental benefit.”

But Dings noted that German motorists can in theory scrap an aging gasoline-sipping Volkswagen Lupo and use a 2,500 euro subsidy to buy a Porsche Cayenne sport utility vehicle.

ZED COMMENT: With the hydrogen fueled ZED engine, a motorist can purchase any vehicle they wish and not worry about pollution because regardless of engine size, the ZED engine emits only water vapor.  With no chassis redesign needed, the ZED engine can readily replace any gasoline or diesel engine in any vehicle without major reconfiguration. With a projected cost of production less than gasoline, no government subsidy is required.

Higher U.S. ethanol blends would spike food: experts

June 9th, 2009

NEW YORK (Reuters) - June 9, 2009. Raising the allowable levels of ethanol in conventional U.S. gasoline would push up prices of corn and other grains and ultimately meat and dairy, experts said on Tuesday.

The government allows conventional gasoline to be blended with up to 10 percent ethanol. But the ethanol industry, which has grown rapidly over the last two years amid generous government incentives and mandates that call for more ethanol blending over time, wants the blend rate raised to 12 percent to 15 percent ethanol for the industry to continue growing.

“Ultimately this will translates into higher livestock and dairy prices, and eventually further upward pressure on consumer food prices,” said Bill Lapp, president of Advanced Economic Solutions.

He said in a report issued on Tuesday that 12 to 15 percent blends would push up the amount of land needed to grow corn to at least 100 million acres by about 2010 to 2015.

That would compare to 76.5 million acres that were the average from 1983 to 2006 and such an increase could force corn farmers to take land away from other crops, helping to raise prices for all sorts of grains, he said.

Using 100 million acres could spike corn prices to a level that would make last June’s price of about $7.50 a bushel, “look like a walk in the park,” Lapp told reporters in a teleconference.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is evaluating whether to lift the blend level beyond 10 percent. A major concern is whether the higher blends would hurt fuel lines and other aspects of car engines, especially in older vehicles. The EPA has said it has up to December 1 to act upon a request to increase the blend level to 15 percent.

ZED COMMENT: Of all the alternate energy sources, most experts agree that making biofuel from food stocks is the least acceptable solution. Aside from diverting food to fuel, many studies agree that the chemical, water, and fuel input to grow the biomass often exceeds the energy value of the biofuel — which is half that of gasoline by volume. Alternately, ZED hydrogen fuel does not pollute, the energy content exceeds gasoline, and when produced by wind, solar or geothermal means,  it has a net zero environmental impact with no production cost.

Where will innovation come from?

June 1st, 2009

According to a report in the International Fluid Power Society 2008 newsletter:

- Less than 6 percent of high school seniors in the US plan to pursue engineering degrees. This is down 36 percent from ten years ago.

- In 2000, 56 percent of China’s undergraduate degrees were in the hard sciences. In the US the figure was 17 percent.

- In 2007, China will produce six times more engineers than the US. While Japan, with half the population of
the USA, has produced double the engineers in recent years.

- If these trends continue, 90 percent of the world’s engineers will be living in Asia by 2010.

ZED COMMENT: Innovation is the only constant when it comes to improved efficiency in any industry, especially automotive manufacturing. With all manufacturing in the USA now less than government spending as a percent of GDP (compared to 50% of GDP in the 1950s), a quality education, and the resulting competitive innovation, is seen by some economists as the real key to long term economic revitalization.

GM files for bankruptcy, Chrysler sale cleared

June 1st, 2009

Mon Jun 1, 2009 DETROIT/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - General Motors Corp filed for bankruptcy on Monday, forcing the 100-year-old automaker once seen as a symbol of American economic might and dynamism into a new and uncertain era of government ownership. The bankruptcy filing is the third-largest in U.S. history and the largest ever in U.S. Manufacturing.

The decision to push GM into a fast-track bankruptcy and provide $30 billion of additional taxpayer funds to restructure the automaker is a huge gamble for the Obama administration.

Following the bankruptcy filing, GM shares were removed from the Dow Jones industrial average and delisted by the New York Stock Exchange as “no longer suitable for listing.”

“Now the hard part begins, which is making GM and Chrysler competitive. If they don’t do that, then we’ll be doing this all over again in a few years,” said Christopher Richter, an auto analyst at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets in Tokyo.

“The immediate implication is that the companies are going to get smaller and so market share is up for grabs, which means that rivals like Toyota, Honda, Nissan and Hyundai are going to gain share.”

GM plans to close 11 U.S. facilities and idle another three plants. It has not provided an updated target for job cuts but had been looking to cut 21,000 factory jobs from the 54,000 UAW workers it now employs in the United States.

GM alone employs 92,000 in the United States and is indirectly responsible for 500,000 retirees.

Founded in 1908, GM rose to dominate the U.S. and global auto industries under the stewardship of pioneering Chief Executive Alfred Sloan, who famously pledged that the automaker would deliver “a car for every purse and purpose.”

By the mid-1950s, at the peak of its success, GM had some 514,000 employees. It accounted for about half of U.S. car production and its sales were twice as large as the No. 2 corporation, Standard Oil.

GM’s stock fell to a low of 48 cents on Monday, a level last seen during the Great Depression.

The bankruptcy case is In re: General Motors Corp, U.S. Bankruptcy Court, Southern District of New York, No. 09-50026.

ZED COMMENT: Unimaginable five years ago, the bankruptcy of General Motors makes June 1, 2009 an historic day in the North American auto industry. Most observers agree though, its been a downward spiral since the mid-1950s. What caused this to happen — government, management, the union, the economy? In contrast, American management, and American workers with the same government and economy  make the best foreign branded vehicles on the planet. So perhaps the most critical change is not the “car model” but the “business model”. Only time will tell. As stated by Richter, “Now the hard part begins”.